Douglas Research Insights

Douglas Research Insights

Share this post

Douglas Research Insights
Douglas Research Insights
Chagee Holdings IPO Valuation Analysis
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Chagee Holdings IPO Valuation Analysis

Douglas Kim's avatar
Douglas Kim
Apr 11, 2025
∙ Paid

Share this post

Douglas Research Insights
Douglas Research Insights
Chagee Holdings IPO Valuation Analysis
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
Share
  • Our base case valuation of Chagee Holdings is target price of $46.7 per share, representing 67% higher than the high end of the IPO price range ($28 per share).

  • Our base case valuation is based on a P/E of 21.4x on our estimated net profit of 2.9 billion RMB in 2025.

  • We used a very conservative valuation multiple, mainly due to the extremely high macro risks related to the ongoing tariff dispute between China and the United States.

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Douglas Research Insights to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Douglas Kim
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More